At an event organized by the SIA (the French Society of Automotive Engineers), Catherine Girard from Renault and Paul-Antoine Chafangeon from PSA gave a talk on Evolution of Automobile Markets in Europe and Around the World. This study started 10 years ago, and features an annual update.
The following four scenarios were analysed along two axes, using a consumer-demand model: GDP growth and environmental constraints:
Green constraints: low fuel price with tax incentives to faster alternative green technologies
Green growth: high fuel price with strong tax incentives to faster alternative green technologies
Stagnation: low fuel price with soft vehicle taxation
Liberal world: High petrol price with moderate tax increase
|
Evolution of battery cost in four analysed scenarios |